Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.257693 0.303139 0.351497 0.406507 0.467071 0.531453 0.604798
2024-10-13 0.192513 0.253088 0.322132 0.405541 0.502476 0.610543 0.739079
2024-10-20 0.147484 0.216396 0.300266 0.407216 0.537391 0.688270 0.873915
2024-10-27 0.118447 0.193210 0.289931 0.419303 0.583036 0.778915 1.026460
2024-11-03 0.096736 0.175147 0.282664 0.432839 0.629483 0.871111 1.183278
2024-11-10 0.079469 0.159743 0.276196 0.445503 0.674043 0.961472 1.339844
2024-11-17 0.060889 0.138333 0.258064 0.439807 0.693024 1.019092 1.456409
2024-11-24 0.048971 0.124953 0.249442 0.445642 0.726388 1.094990 1.596861
2024-12-01 0.037178 0.108771 0.234028 0.439613 0.742117 1.147262 1.707330
2024-12-08 0.026383 0.091189 0.213541 0.423534 0.741850 1.177085 1.788175
2024-12-15 0.021338 0.084161 0.209779 0.432420 0.776992 1.254850 1.932862
2024-12-22 0.015379 0.072720 0.196295 0.424273 0.786109 1.296449 2.029545
2024-12-29 0.013154 0.070398 0.199909 0.444875 0.839673 1.402154 2.216072
2025-01-05 0.009667 0.062804 0.192028 0.445322 0.862368 1.464868 2.345425
2025-01-12 0.007090 0.056576 0.185867 0.448006 0.888235 1.532326 2.482156
2025-01-19 0.005622 0.053477 0.185895 0.461453 0.931165 1.624892 2.654709
2025-01-26 0.004484 0.050950 0.186758 0.476238 0.976389 1.721330 2.833704
2025-02-02 0.003511 0.048395 0.187130 0.489958 1.020090 1.816130 3.011526
2025-02-09 0.002180 0.042205 0.177553 0.484012 1.031248 1.862995 3.122474
2025-02-16 0.001489 0.038870 0.174535 0.490316 1.062510 1.939904 3.276531
2025-02-23 0.000803 0.033709 0.165534 0.483931 1.072021 1.984143 3.384457
2025-03-02 0.000298 0.027518 0.151928 0.466792 1.062218 1.998568 3.449460
2025-03-09 0.000164 0.025746 0.151179 0.476299 1.098382 2.083334 3.616457